I cannot forecast to you the action of Russia. It is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma; but perhaps there is a key. That key is Russian national interest.
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Putin’s Strategy. Prevented by international agreements and a weak economy from simply invading Russia’s former territories, Putin began a long-term strategy of using oil and gas to create a dependence among the former republics of the Soviet Union and beyond to the USSR’s previous fiefdom in Eastern Europe.
Aug 28, 2014 · NATO: Images show Russian forces in Ukraine – This image, captured on July 23, depicts what are NATO says are probably six Russian 2S19 self-propelled, 153mm guns near Kuybyshevo, Russia.
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Russian military intervention in Ukraine (2014–present) Part of the Ukrainian crisis and pro-Russian unrest in Ukraine Areas held by the insurgents and Russia Areas under the control of Ukraine
Blackouts in Ukraine were just a trial run. Russian hackers are learning to sabotage infrastructure—and the US could be next.
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2014 pro-Russian unrest in Ukraine; Part of the Ukrainian crisis: Map of protests by region, indicating the severity of the unrest at its peak
The Pentagon has identified eight staging areas in Russia where large numbers of military forces appear to be preparing for incursions into Ukraine.